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The Digest:

With one round remaining in the UEFA Champions League league phase, only Arsenal and Bayern Munich have secured a top-two finish and direct qualification to the last 16. Teams from Real Madrid and Liverpool, in third and fourth to clubs like Newcastle, Chelsea, and Manchester City, further down the table, must win their final matches to guarantee a top-eight finish and avoid the playoff round. Key fixtures include Newcastle away to Paris St-Germain, Chelsea at Napoli, and Manchester City hosting Galatasaray. Even clubs as low as 18th-placed Qarabag mathematically retain a chance at automatic qualification due to the tight standings.

Key Points:
  • The final matchday will determine seeding, playoff participants, and which clubs face an extra knockout round in February.
  • Premier League clubs dominate the chasing pack, highlighting the league’s strength but also intensifying domestic fixture congestion.
  • Goal difference may become decisive for several clubs, adding strategic nuance to already high-stakes fixtures.
  • The bracket structure means a top-two finish guarantees home advantage in the second leg of every knockout tie before the final.
  • The condensed nature of the standings underscores the competitive balance in this season’s expanded Champions League format.

Sources: BBC Sport