
The Digest:
Nigeria's economic outlook has received a significant boost as the International Monetary Fund upgraded the country's 2025 growth forecast to 3.9%, citing stronger domestic fundamentals, higher oil production, and improved investor confidence amid global economic turbulence.
Key Points:
- IMF raised Nigeria's 2025 growth projection by 0.5 percentage points to 3.9%
- The upgrade reflects stronger oil production and improved fiscal support
- Growth is expected to accelerate to 4.2% in 2026 despite global challenges
- Nigeria's limited exposure to US tariff wars provided relative advantage
- Inflation is projected to decline from 31.4% in 2024 to 23.0% in 2025
- Current account surplus will narrow as imports offset oil export gains
- The forecast incorporates Nigeria's GDP rebasing using 2019 as new base year
- Revised data now captures digital economy and informal sectors, raising nominal GDP by 40%
Sources: IMF World Economic Outlook
Tags: IMF