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The Digest:

Oil prices surged past $104 per barrel as the Iran war entered its third week following US strikes on Kharg Island, which handles almost all of Iran's oil exports. Brent crude hit $106.50 before settling near $104, while West Texas Intermediate traded above $99. The Strait of Hormuz has remained effectively closed since February 28, disrupting global oil shipments. Japan began releasing strategic reserves after the IEA approved a 400-million-barrel release. Trump urged other nations to secure the waterway, but Japan and Australia declined, while Iran offered safe passage talks to specific countries.

Key Points:
  • Sustained high oil prices will increase inflation and fuel costs worldwide, straining economies.
  • The Strait of Hormuz closure threatens global energy security, with no clear timeline for reopening.
  • IEA reserve releases provide temporary relief but cannot indefinitely offset prolonged disruption.
  • Major central banks face policy dilemmas balancing inflation control against recession risks.
  • Equity markets remain volatile as investors price in extended conflict and economic uncertainty.
Global markets will closely monitor central bank responses this week and any diplomatic breakthroughs regarding safe passage through the Strait of Hormuz.

Sources: Channels TV, AFP, IEA, Bloomberg