Nigeria Tinubu Projects Inflation to Fall Below 10% in 2026

The Digest:

President Bola Tinubu has projected inflation to drop below 10% in 2026, citing economic reforms and a soaring stock market that recently surpassed N100 trillion in capitalisation.

Key Points:

• Tinubu appointed Special Adviser Bayo Onanuga.
• NGX market capitalisation crossed N100 trillion this week.
• All-Share Index returned 51.19% in 2025, outpacing many global markets.
• Inflation fell from 34.8% in Dec 2024 to 14.45% in Nov 2025.
• Foreign reserves have risen above $45 billion.
• Non-oil exports grew 48% in Q3 2025.
• The CBN projects reserves to exceed $50 billion in early 2026.

Economic forecasts paint a picture of recovery, yet true prosperity is measured in pockets, not percentages. As Tinubu envisions a future with single-digit inflation, the gap between data and daily reality remains the real test: where numbers tell one story, but lived experience writes the next.

Sources: Daily Trust, Presidential Statement, NGX Data